Michael Ignatieff is a tactile man. He plunged into the few-score supporters huddled in a gazebo in search of shelter from a torrential rain on Tuesday - listening, laughing, shaking his head, almost always with his hand on a shoulder, or his hands enfolding another's. This is alien to Stephen Harper.

The Liberal Leader's six-week bus tour is make-or-break. Canadians don't like him. Even worse, the Liberal Party is, at its core, smaller than the Conservative Party. Unless Mr. Ignatieff begins to alter these truths during his conversations with Canadians during this last lull before an election that is almost certainly coming next spring, and possibly sooner, he is likely to lose that election, and with it the leadership of his party.

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